Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 9.920269 11.191138 12.648536 14.463571 16.692369 19.379504 22.927448
2024-12-22 7.939790 9.525732 11.528195 14.317488 18.235059 23.772320 32.681522
2024-12-29 7.059905 8.832751 11.227485 14.853333 20.523959 29.735204 47.741768
2025-01-05 6.149731 7.892508 10.347197 14.269720 20.870893 32.742235 59.927061
2025-01-12 5.445496 7.119107 9.550065 13.596551 20.810550 34.927688 72.246367
2025-01-19 4.946251 6.570293 8.993386 13.176368 21.040449 37.738655 89.086106
2025-01-26 4.619087 6.233662 8.708401 13.143295 21.963616 42.474223 118.416876
2025-02-02 4.566266 6.300051 9.060593 14.283649 25.594139 56.063509 216.318767
2025-02-09 4.433529 6.223766 9.161675 14.972731 28.507336 70.303895 400.151733
2025-02-16 4.214918 5.986767 8.955341 15.012579 29.886938 80.973923 681.608518
2025-02-23 4.085013 5.881994 8.966693 15.499644 32.628034 100.384478 1748.155963
2025-03-02 3.851928 5.585034 8.597362 15.102082 32.766440 108.523801 3480.840168
2025-03-09 3.650933 5.347409 8.350356 15.024579 34.146527 127.618480 25565.257473
2025-03-16 3.454880 5.107254 8.081677 14.873413 35.363828 150.144495 NaN
2025-03-23 3.356684 5.028555 8.112344 15.440908 39.377998 208.580009 NaN
2025-03-30 3.149497 4.739525 7.696885 14.823167 38.770706 224.253220 NaN
2025-04-06 2.952748 4.456787 7.269767 14.111465 37.551113 231.288386 NaN
2025-04-13 2.798742 4.242129 6.962811 13.667703 37.284226 252.508939 NaN
2025-04-20 2.695296 4.113015 6.819146 13.632790 38.765458 311.799103 NaN
2025-04-27 2.703682 4.189612 7.108936 14.837905 46.757659 631.815006 NaN
2025-05-04 2.668621 4.181709 7.218095 15.567401 53.310856 1273.655381 NaN
2025-05-11 2.585867 4.076990 7.104649 15.609615 56.152495 2092.796658 NaN
2025-05-18 2.540096 4.040611 7.139948 16.125851 62.606525 6314.717961 NaN